Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 51.505547 58.796947 66.354012 74.740226 83.755666 93.127410 103.577101
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 41.362194 51.782425 63.165323 76.394269 91.221744 107.213776 125.652272
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 33.889334 45.719660 59.187752 75.388081 94.093016 114.781257 139.166601
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.216132 40.853261 55.797247 74.326428 96.266777 121.042144 150.767152
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.321827 37.587507 53.820802 74.484147 99.474961 128.177885 163.107374
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.152954 34.836112 52.134880 74.692525 102.495793 134.906666 174.832812
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.702935 32.733953 51.021707 75.396088 105.945269 142.018362 186.921251
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.988462 29.962039 48.794285 74.483663 107.243921 146.437844 195.738097
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.421400 28.640929 48.344255 75.728793 111.130805 153.917222 208.168429
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.159261 27.627900 48.205287 77.296653 115.368102 161.795327 221.076244
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.310550 25.506062 46.366636 76.479123 116.468456 165.753741 229.200632
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.374984 23.002685 43.795295 74.511344 115.955603 167.614924 234.694318
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.921065 22.954631 44.813406 77.506122 121.987294 177.758363 250.498861
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.215518 22.388955 45.012903 79.339017 126.491259 186.006296 264.019113
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.931505 20.606448 43.237720 78.288914 127.090492 189.261327 271.320389
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.802021 18.938907 41.512241 77.204785 127.563662 192.299493 278.314357
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.043453 17.889376 40.688515 77.365873 129.680020 197.421625 287.911790
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.379477 16.929120 39.937311 77.579281 131.832095 202.571927 297.543191
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.868019 16.220024 39.551036 78.299589 134.662110 208.597258 308.291021
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.178962 14.954831 38.119824 77.365427 135.136149 211.508854 315.063250
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.857871 14.539767 38.142133 78.640196 138.703866 218.492778 327.052150
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.606119 14.260841 38.384344 80.245115 142.739354 226.106890 339.873600
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.112623 13.190309 37.106648 79.408297 143.259221 229.032826 346.659349